Musi wa15 Mbudzi, RCEP, chibvumirano chehupfumi chepasi rose, chakasainwa zviri pamutemo mushure memakore masere enhaurirano! Nzvimbo yekutengeserana yemahara ine vanhu vakawanda, chimiro chenhengo dzakasiyana-siyana, uye mukana mukuru webudiriro munyika wakazvarwa. Ichi chiitiko chikuru muhurongwa hwekubatanidzwa kwehupfumi hwedunhu reEast Asia, uye zvaunza simba idzva mukudzoreredza hupfumi hwedunhu uye kunyangwe hupfumi hwenyika.

Zvinopfuura 90% zvezvigadzirwa zvishoma nezvishoma zero tariffs

Nhaurirano dzeRCEP dzakabva pane yakapfuura "10+3" kubatana uye kuwedzera chiyero ku "10+5". Izvi zvisati zvaitika, China yakagadzira nzvimbo yekutengeserana yakasununguka nenyika gumi dzeASEAN, uye zero mutero weChina-ASEAN Free Trade Area yakavhara zvinopfuura 90% zvemitero yezvinhu zvose zviri zviviri.

Sekureva kweChina Times, Zhu Yin, purofesa weDhipatimendi rePublic Administration yeSchool of International Relations, akati, "nhaurirano dzeRCEP pasina mubvunzo dzichatora matanho makuru mukudzikisa zvipingamupinyi. Mune ramangwana, 95% kana zvimwe zvezvinhu zvemutero hazvizobvisirwe kubva pakubatanidzwa muchiyero chezero tariff. Nzvimbo yemusika zvakare Ichave yakatokura, inova chirongwa chikuru chekubatsira makambani ekunze ekutengeserana. "

Zvinoenderana nenhamba muna 2018, nyika gumi neshanu dziri muchibvumirano ichi dzichabata vanhu vanosvika mabhiriyoni maviri nemazana matatu pasi rose, vachiverengera makumi matatu muzana ehuwandu hwepasi rose; iyo yose GDP ichapfuura US$25 tiririyoni, uye dunhu rakafukidzwa richava gurusa repasi rose rekutengeserana nzvimbo.

Muzvikamu zvitatu zvekutanga zvegore rino, huwandu hwekutengeserana pakati peChina neASEAN hwakasvika US $ 481.81 bhiriyoni, kuwedzera kwe5% gore negore. ASEAN yakagara ichive mubatanidzwa mukuru weChina wekutengeserana, uye kudyara kweChina muASEAN kwakawedzera ne76.6% gore negore.

Pamusoro pezvo, kupera kwechibvumirano kuchabatsirawo kuvaka ketani yekugovera uye kukosha kwedunhu. Wang Shouwen, Mutevedzeri weGurukota reCommerce uye Mutevedzeri weMumiriri weInternational Trade Negotiations, akambotaura kuti kuumbwa kwenzvimbo yekutengeserana yakasununguka mudunhu iri kuchabatsira dunhu renzvimbo kuti rigadzire cheni yekugovera uye kukosha kwezvinoenderana nekuenzanisa kwayo, uye zvichakanganisa kuyerera kwezvinhu uye tekinoroji munharaunda. , Basa rinoyerera, mari inoyerera, kusanganisira kuyambuka-muganho kufamba kwevanhu kuchava nemabhenefiti makuru, kuumba "kutengeserana kusika" mhedzisiro.

Tora indasitiri yezvipfeko semuenzaniso. Kana zvipfeko zveVietnam zvave kutumirwa kuChina, zvinofanirwa kubhadhara mutero. Kana ikabatana nechibvumirano chekutengeserana kwemahara, iyo yedunhu kukosha cheni inopinda. China inotenga kunze mvere dzemakwai kubva kuAustralia neNew Zealand. Nekuda kwekuti yakasaina zvibvumirano zvekutengeserana mahara, inogona kupinza kunze mutero pasina mutero mune ramangwana. Mushure mekutenga kunze kwenyika, icharukwa kuita machira kuChina. Iri jira rinogona kutumirwa kuVietnam. Vietnam inoshandisa jira iri kugadzira zvipfeko isati yatumira kuSouth Korea, Japan, China nedzimwe nyika, idzi dzinogona kunge dzisina mutero, izvo zvinosimudzira kusimudzira indasitiri yemuno machira nembatya, kugadzirisa basa, uye zvakare yakanaka kwazvo kune kunze kwenyika. .

Naizvozvo, mushure mekunge RCEP yasainwa, kana inopfuura makumi mapfumbamwe muzana ezvigadzirwa zvishoma nezvishoma zero tariff, inosimudzira zvakanyanya hupfumi hwenhengo dzinopfuura gumi nemaviri, kusanganisira China.

Panguva imwecheteyo, mumamiriro ekushandurwa kwemamiriro ehupfumi hwemukati uye kudzikira kwekutengesa kunze kwenyika, RCEP ichaunza mikana mitsva yekuChina machira uye zvipfeko kunze kwenyika.

Chii chinokanganisa indasitiri yemachira?

Mitemo Yekutanga Inofambisa Kutenderera Kwemachira Raw Materials

Gore rino RCEP Negotiation Committee ichatarisa nhaurirano nekuronga mitemo yemabviro muzvikamu zveveruzhinji. Kusiyana neCPTPP, ine mitemo yakasimba yezvazvinoda kune zvigadzirwa zvinofarira zero tariff munyika dzenhengo, senge indasitiri yemachira nembatya Kutora iyo Yarn Forward mutemo, ndiko kuti, kutanga kubva pashinda, inofanira kutengwa kubva kunhengo dzenhengo kuti unakirwe. zero tariff zvido. Imwe yemapoinzi akakosha eRCEP kutaurirana kuedza kuona kuti nyika gumi nenhanhatu dzinogovana chitupa chakafanana chekwakabva, uye Asia ichabatanidzwa mune imwechete yakazara kwakabva. Hapana kupokana kuti izvi zvichapa mabhizinesi emachira uye ezvipfeko enyika idzi gumi nenhanhatu mutengesi, Logistics uye kubvumidzwa kwetsika kunounza kurerukirwa kukuru.

Ichagadzirisa zvinonetsa zvemukati zveVietnam machira indasitiri

Mutungamiriri weDhipatimendi reMavambo eImport and Export Bureau yeBazi reIndasitiri neKutengesera, Zheng Thi Chuxian, akataura kuti chikuru chakasarudzika cheRCEP chichaunza mabhenefiti kuindasitiri yekunze yeVietnamese mitemo yayo yekubva, kureva, kushandiswa kwezvinhu zvakabikwa kubva kune dzimwe nyika nhengo mune imwe nyika. Chigadzirwa chichiri kutorwa senyika yekwakabva.

Semuyenzaniso, zvigadzirwa zvakawanda zvinogadzirwa neVietnam zvichishandisa zvigadzirwa kubva kuChina hazvigone kunakidzwa nemitengo yemitero kana ichiendeswa kuJapan, South Korea, neIndia. Sekureva kweRCEP, zvigadzirwa zvinogadzirwa neVietnam zvichishandisa zviwanikwa kubva kune dzimwe nhengo dzenhengo zvichiri kutorwa sezvakabva kuVietnam. Mitero yemutero inodiwa iripo pakutengesa kunze. Muna 2018, indasitiri yemachira yekuVietnam yakatengesa kunze 36.2 bhiriyoni emadhora ekuAmerica, asi zvinhu zvakatengeswa kunze kwenyika (sedonje, fiber, uye zvishongedzo) zvakasvika mabhiriyoni makumi maviri nematatu emadhora ekuAmerica, mazhinji acho aitengwa kubva kuChina, South Korea, neIndia. Kana iyo RCEP ikasainwa, inogadzirisa zvinonetsa zveVietnamese machira indasitiri nezve zvigadzirwa.

Iyo yepasi rose machira yekugovera cheni inotarisirwa kuumba inotungamira patani yeChina + nyika dzakavakidzana

Nekuenderera mberi kwekuvandudzwa kweR&D yezvipfeko uye zvipfeko zvine chekuita neR&D, dhizaini uye tekinoroji yekugadzira yezvinhu zvakasvibirira uye zvekubatsira, mamwe maratidziro ekugadzira akaderera akaendeswa kuSoutheast Asia. Nepo kutengeserana kweChina mune zvakapedzwa machira uye zvigadzirwa zvembatya muSoutheast Asia kwadzikira, kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kwezvinhu mbishi uye zvekubatsira kuchawedzera zvakanyanya. .

Kunyangwe indasitiri yemachira yekuSoutheast Asia nyika dzinomiririrwa neVietnam iri kuramba ichikwira, makambani ekuChina emachira haasati anyatsokwanisa kutsiviwa.

Iyo RCEP inosimudzirwa pamwe chete neChina neSoutheast Asia ndeyezve chinangwa chekuwana kuhwina-kuhwina kubatana. Kuburikidza nekudyidzana kwedunhu rehupfumi, China neSoutheast Asia nyika dzinogona kuwana budiriro yakafanana.

Mune ramangwana, mune yepasirese machira ekugovera keteni, yakasarudzika maitiro eChina + nyika dzakavakidzana inotarisirwa kuumba.